Thursday, July 27, 2017

Fagin's Hike of the Week: Tonga Ridge / Mount Sawyer

Updated 7-27-2017

Hike off of Hwy 2 near Skykomish  with great views of Mt. Rainer, Baker, Glacier Peak, Daniel and more. Hike is snowfree and the wildflowers at peak now.




Paintbrush and other flowers and view to the north
Fields of lupine
Tiger Lily
Glacier Peak
Mt. Daniel
Mt Hinman
Driving Directions: From Seattle drive US 2 east just past Skykomish and turn right onto Foss River Road (Forest Road 68). Continue for 3.6 miles and then turn left onto FR 6830. Go 6.9 miles and bear right onto FR Spur 310, and after 1.4 miles reach the trailhead.

Trail Stats: Hike about 2 to 2.25 miles and go to unmarked trail on your left. This goes up to the top. Total miles is 3 one way and 1200 foot gain to 5500 foot level. We added just less than a mile to hike to southeast to Sawyer Pass which is a nice meadow. Here is the track 


Disclaimer: There are many factors which you should consider in deciding whether to proceed with an outing, including the visible weather at the trailhead, the strength and experience of the party, snow and avalanche conditions, route conditions, etc. You are the final decision maker whether to proceed. West Coast Weather, LLC dba Washington Online Weather cannot be held liable for loss or injury arising from your decision to proceed, and expressly disclaims all liability related thereto. Redmond, Washington USA. Also, please bring map-compass and GPS to help with trail directions as our directions are our best estimate.

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Wednesday, July 26, 2017

Rain Seattle

Issued July 26, 2017 5:00 AM.

I want to thank Meteorologist Nick Eckstein for this information.


There has been no measurable rainfall at Seattle-Tacoma Airport since June 17 and the record for the most consecutive days without measurable rainfall is 51 days.
The current stretch for Seattle of 39 days, which includes today, is tied for the 11th longest on record: 9 days from the second longest and 12 days from the record longest.
The 14 longest stretches on record (since 1894 for Seattle and 1945 at Sea-Tac) are as follows; the dates indicates the last day of each stretch:

1.  51 days    1951-08-26
2.  48 days    2012-09-08
2.  48 days    1922-08-09
4.  45 days    1991-10-15
5.  43 days    1936-08-22
5.  43 days    1921-08-13
7.  42 days    1986-08-27
8.  41 days    1930-08-07
8.  41 days    1926-07-25
10. 40 days    1971-08-19
11. 39 days    2017-07-26 (Current, Ongoing)
11. 39 days    1997-08-19
13. 38 days    1945-07-20
13. 38 days    1928-08-11
 
According to Meteorologist Nick Eckstein;

“It appears that if the airport can get past Thursday morning's marine layer without a hundredth of an inch being squeezed out (and it seems likely that it does stay dry), there would be a fairly high chance that the streak extends to at least 47 days.  The GFS and European models continue strong ridging across the western US into next week, at times trying to migrate it close to the west coast for some potential hot days west of the Cascades from the weekend into next week.  Beyond the beginning of August, the forecast becomes more uncertain, but based on climatology and early indications from the European model, it's probably still more likely than not that KSEA gets to the 51 days and beyond with no measurable rain.  The GFS moves a trough into the Northwest with a chance of rain right as the critical August 7 potential record-tying day arrives, pushed along by strong energy moving across the Pacific next week, but it emanates that energy from Typhoon Noru (which it intensifies to a Super Typhoon) and Tropical Storm Kulap currently east of Japan, and it appears much too strong with them given their location and Fujiwhara dance with a blocking high over the central Pacific.  The European and GFS Ensembles are both weaker with the tropical systems and any energy that breaks away wouldn't be strong enough to break down the Central Pacific block, and in turn the western US ridge may continue to hold as well.”




Thursday, July 20, 2017

Fagin's Hike of the Week- Camano Island


Updated July 19, 2017

3 state parks to enjoy hikes with views Saratoga Passage with the Olympics in the background, that is what Cama Beach State Park offers as well as Camano Island State Park.   

Oh don't forget this sometimes forgotten hidden park that has views of the Cascades including  Mt. Rainier in the distance and up front and close Mt. Baker. This is Iverson Spit Preserve. Make sure you plug in 3 Iverson Road Camano Island on your GPS or Smartphone as there are not any signs directing you here. The other parks are easy to find.

Iverson Spit Preserve
Several miles of hikes on the preserve and on the beach. Great spot to bring a lunch and enjoy the great views. Also on a warm day folks can soak feet in the water.
View of 3 Fingers
Mt. Baker
Draft wood and flowers on beach


This park has offers many  great hikes and  these are shorter hikes. Our favorite was the Bluff Loop Trail and Cranberry Lake. Here are some of the trails.


View of Saratoga Passage from Bluff Trail

Bluff Trail is in forest

Cama Beach

Three miles of hiking trails some in the forest and you can check out the beach.  Here is a a map of the trails

View of the Olympics
Boating is very popular

Directions:

For Camano Island State Park Go north on I 5 from Seattlet. Take exit 212 for Highway 532, signed Stanwood/Camano Island. After exiting the freeway, turn left at the light onto 532. 

In 9.8 miles come to a Y, stay left (signed for parks). In eight miles, turn right onto Mountain View Road. There is a gas station/grocery store on the right just before the turn. In just under two miles turn left onto Lowell Point Rd. In .7 miles turn right into day use (left for hiking trails). Cama Beach State Park is one mile to the north. For Iverson Spit put  3 Iverson Road in your Smartphone and or GPS.

Disclaimer: There are many factors which you should consider in deciding whether to proceed with an outing, including the visible weather at the trailhead, the strength and experience of the party, snow and avalanche conditions, route conditions, etc. You are the final decision maker whether to proceed. West Coast Weather, LLC dba Washington Online Weather cannot be held liable for loss or injury arising from your decision to proceed, and expressly disclaims all liability related thereto. Redmond, Washington USA. Also, please bring map-compass and GPS to help with trail directions as our directions are our best estimate.

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Wednesday, July 12, 2017

Fagin's Hike of the Week: Melakwa Lake

Updated 7-12-2017

I hiked this last year but I did check out several recent trip reports and this trail is open and snowfree.

Waterfalls part way to the lake

.
River crossing popular spot in summer
One will always find happy hikers

Melakwa Lake 
Driving Directions: From Seattle drive east on I-90 to exit 47 . Turn left over the overpass and proceed to a  junction. Turn right and travel 0.25 mile to Denny Creek Road (Forest Road 58). Turn left and drive 2.5 miles, turning left on the paved road just after the Denny Creek Campground. The trailhead is at the road's end

Trail Stats: 9 miles roundtrip and 2300 foot gain. However some folks have indicated that is it is closer to 11.5 mile roundtrip. .



Disclaimer: There are many factors which you should consider in deciding whether to proceed with an outing, including the visible weather at the trailhead, the strength and experience of the party, snow and avalanche conditions, route conditions, etc. You are the final decision maker whether to proceed. West Coast Weather, LLC dba Washington Online Weather cannot be held liable for loss or injury arising from your decision to proceed, and expressly disclaims all liability related thereto. Redmond, Washington USA. Also, please bring map-compass and GPS to help with trail directions as our directions are our best estimate.

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Weather Washington Cascades- Extended Outlook

Updated July 12, 2017

Forecast models for today through at least July 25 have a ridge of high pressure that is anchored over the Southwest and a weak trough of low pressure to our northwest (see map below). This pattern will bring dry conditions over our area with normal to slightly above normal daytime temperatures.

500 mb map (18,000') for July 19


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Thursday, July 6, 2017

Fagin's Hike of the Week: Big Greider Lake

Updated July 6, 2017

Off of Highway 2 in the Sultan Basin is a great snowfree hike. Thanks to Alan Bauer for the photos. The hike starts on an old road and once on the trail you will hike to 3 lakes.



Big Greider Lake @ Alan Bauer
On the way up by Little Greider Lake @ Alan Bauer
Near the begiinning of the hike you will find Spada Lake @ Alan Bauer



Driving Directions:
US 2 east to from Everett to Sultan. Turn left onto Sultan Basin Road just after milepost 23. And follow it for a little over 13 miles, the last 3 of which are unpaved but in great condition. At that point, stop off at a kiosk to sign in and acknowledge that you will follow the rules of hiking in the area. Make sure you stop here, as you could be cited and fined if you don’t register. After the kiosk, continue following the road, keeping right at the Y onto forest road 61. Another 5 miles on a well-maintained gravel road will take you to the trailhead. 



Trail stats: Close to 11 miles roundtrip and about 2000' gain. Here is the track 

Disclaimer: There are many factors which you should consider in deciding whether to proceed with an outing, including the visible weather at the trailhead, the strength and experience of the party, snow and avalanche conditions, route conditions, etc. You are the final decision maker whether to proceed. West Coast Weather, LLC dba Washington Online Weather cannot be held liable for loss or injury arising from your decision to proceed, and expressly disclaims all liability related thereto. Redmond, Washington USA. Also, please bring map-compass and GPS to help with trail directions as our directions are our best estimate.

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Tuesday, July 4, 2017

Weather Washington Cascades: Extended Outlook

Updated July 4, 2017

Forecast models have an upper level ridge of high pressure over the west coast through at least July 13, (see map) and a trough of low pressure near Vancouver Island. This pattern will bring above normal temperatures and dry conditions till at least July 13 and probably beyond.

500 mb (18,000') map for July 13


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