Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Weather Washington Cascades- Extended Outlook

Updated April 14, 2015

Forecast models through at least April 27 are showing a strong ridge of high pressure at the surface and aloft at times. Thus above normal temperatures and below normal precipation will be the rule starting later this week..

500 mb map at 18,000'

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Fagin's Hike of the Week- Manastash Ridge Observatory

Updated: April 14, 2015
Just outside of Ellensburg this is a road walk that is gated through the end of April. Enjoy snowfree hike with flowers starting to come out. At top is the observatory (usually closed) with great views to north and south. Thanks to Alan Bauer and Dennis Long for photos.



View from top - Stuart Range @ Alan Bauer
Pines with Stuart Range in background
Big herd of Elk @ Dennis Long
Grass Widow @ Alan Bauer
Desert Lupine @ Alan Bauer
Driving directions: From I-90 Exit 109 at Ellensburg, turn right at end of off ramp, and drive 0.5 mile north to the first traffic light. Turn left at traffic light onto Umptanum Road and set your odometer here. Drive out of Ellensburg on this road and stay on it. At 5.0 miles (you’ve left farm land behind and climbed up into Manastash Ridge by now you hit end of pavement onto gravel. At 10.2 miles at a sharp turn in the road you reach the parking lot for Umtanum Creek Falls trail on your left and continue on. Then at 11.4 miles you pass the access for Hanson Pond Road (another good road hike) and continue. Finally, at 15.4 miles, or just a bit more than 5 miles from Umtanum Creek Falls Trail,  and about ½ mile after the road starts descending from Ellensburg Pass area, you come to a "unmarked" road on the right. This is Observatory Road, gated until May 1st each year. Parking for 3-4 signed for and you need a Discovery Pass.

Trail stats: Hike to about 2.4 miles on the main road  then at a junction  veer to the right and go to head to the observatory.  At 4.6 miles you reach the ridge, go right on ridge road and at 4.9 miles you reach the observatory. Gain under 1000 feet with top close to 3900 feet. 


 

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Disclaimer: There are many factors which you should consider in deciding whether to proceed with an outing, including the visible weather at the trailhead, the strength and experience of the party, snow and avalanche conditions, route conditions, etc. You are the final decision maker whether to proceed. West Coast Weather, LLC dba Washington Online Weather cannot be held liable for loss or injury arising from your decision to proceed, and expressly disclaims all liability related thereto. Redmond, Washington USA. Also, please bring map-compass and GPS to help with trail directions as our directions are our best estimate.

Tuesday, April 7, 2015

Fagin's Hike of the Week- Pinnacle Peak

Updated 4-8-2015

Hike near Enumclaw. Short hike but a good workout
Pinnacle Peak

On the way up view of farmland and foothills

Salmon berry fruit will be tasty later in summer
   
Other names have been Mount Peak or Mount Pete
Trillium
View near top
Fagin at summit photo @Dennis Long


Driving directions: From Enumclaw drive .8 mile east on state Route 410, then turn right onto 284th Street, drive 1 1/2 miles and turn right again on Southeast 472nd Street. In less than .5 mile, find the obvious trail heading uphill on your left and a parking area, elevation 770 feet. There is a very small sign at the trailhead
.
Trail stats: Two miles round trip, elevation gain about 1,000 feet.

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Weather Washington Cascades - Extended

Issued 4-8-2015

The forecast models are indicating below normal precipitation for the period now through April 21. The map below shows a ridge of high pressure at times. However my confidence in the general forecast is low as we get some differences in what the different models are saying.

500 mb map


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Wednesday, April 1, 2015

Washington Cascades- Extended Outlook

Updated 4-1-2015

Most forecast models are bringing above normal precipitation through April 14 and the main reason is troughs of low pressure (see link to map below) will drop down from the northwest over the period. The major uncertainly in the  forecasts is if temperatures will be above or below normal. I would think they would tend to be below normal.

500 mb map for April 10


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Fagin's Hike of the Week- Umtanum Ridge

Updated 3-30-2015

Great hike this time of the year with flowers coming out and views of Mt. Rainier, Mt. Adams, and Mt. Stuart from the top. Trail is north of Yakima.





Michael on the way up @ Denis DuBois
Start of the hike

View of Mt. Rainier from top @ Brian Fagin
Yakima River
Balsamroot @Denis DuBois
Prime time for flowers @ Denis DuBois
Driving directions: From Seattle, drive east on Interstate 90 to exit 110. After exiting, continue east on Interstate 82 about 3.5 miles to exit 3 (Thrall Road). At the stop sign, turn right on State Route 821. Turn left at the next stop sign to continue southeast along State Route 821 into Yakima Canyon (signed "Yakima Canyon") and continue about 8 miles to the Umtanum Recreation Area (between mileposts 16 and 17). A large gravel parking lot is on the right  side of the road. The parking lot is BLM you can pay $5.00 from 5/15 - 9/15 to park; fee collection box is at the parking lot. Although now a Discovery Pass will work.

Trail stats: Cross the Yakima River via the broad foot-traffic-only suspension bridge, then cross the high berm of the railroad tracks. Once over the railroad route, enter the L. T. Murray State Wildlife Recreation Area.. In less then a 1/4 mile there will be a "Y" junction in the trail. Take the left fork this goes uphill. The right fork goes through the Creek Canyon. On left fork go 2.5 miles and 2100 feet you will be up on the ridge on Yakima Skyline Trail











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Disclaimer: There are many factors which you should consider in deciding whether to proceed with an outing, including the visible weather at the trailhead, the strength and experience of the party, snow and avalanche conditions, route conditions, etc. You are the final decision maker whether to proceed. West Coast Weather, LLC dba Washington Online Weather cannot be held liable for loss or injury arising from your decision to proceed, and expressly disclaims all liability related thereto. Redmond, Washington USA. Also, please bring map-compass and GPS to help with trail directions as our directions are our best estimate.

Wednesday, March 25, 2015

Weather Washington Cascades- Extended Outlook

Issued 3-25-2015

Forecast models are indicating active storm track over the Northwest through early April. We will have weather systems moving in and out of the region at times. So precipitation will tend to be above normal with normal to above normal temperatures. However we will get some dry periods like this Thursday 3-26 and most of Friday 3-27..

500 mb map for April 4, 2015


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